As Japan approaches its national upper house elections, a new topic has emerged at the forefront of political discourse: the presence and role of foreign nationals in Japanese society. With a historically conservative stance on immigration now facing increasing scrutiny and politicization, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has introduced a government task force aimed at navigating the complex dynamics between Japan’s citizens and its growing foreign population.
A government initiative with strategic timing
The recently launched initiative, known officially as the Office for the Promotion of a Society of Harmonious Coexistence with Foreign Nationals, was announced just days before voters head to the polls. This timing is no coincidence. With populist sentiments gaining momentum and fringe parties using immigration as a central campaign theme, the government appears to be responding to growing public discourse centered on national identity and economic strain.
Prime Minister Ishiba framed the office as a central hub for coordinating policies that impact both citizens and foreign nationals. Although still in its early stages, the task force is expected to oversee areas such as immigration procedures, land purchases by non-citizens, and concerns over unpaid taxes or social insurance contributions. The government has also hinted at introducing tighter rules around medical debt, suggesting that individuals who owe significant healthcare bills could be denied visas or reentry.
This program is a segment of a larger strategy to tackle what the administration refers to as the «misuse» of government resources by certain foreign individuals. Nevertheless, specifics regarding implementation are unclear, prompting speculation about the potential impact on Japan’s global relations and its attractiveness as a location for both talented professionals and visitors.
Tourism boom and cultural friction
Despite the fact that foreigners account for only about 3% of Japan’s 120 million residents, the visible presence of international tourists and workers has grown significantly in recent years. In just the last decade, the population of foreign residents jumped from 2.2 million to nearly 3.8 million. The post-pandemic tourism boom has intensified this perception. In the first half of 2025 alone, over 21 million tourists visited the country, setting a new record.
This influx has led to visible tension in certain communities, particularly in tourist-heavy regions. Complaints from residents about overcrowding, disrespectful behavior, and strains on local resources have become increasingly common. In some areas, authorities have gone so far as to erect barriers to block popular photo spots, including a controversial screen placed to obscure views of Mount Fuji after local outcry over congestion and litter.
Even in places known for hospitality, such as hot spring towns, growing numbers of visitors have led to public concern about resource depletion and infrastructural wear. Additionally, some citizens point to rising costs for essentials like rice and housing, attributing them—rightly or wrongly—to foreign demand and external economic pressures.
Jobs and public amenities under examination
Another concern being raised in the lead-up to the election involves access to public services and job opportunities. Some Japanese citizens feel that foreign workers are crowding out domestic job seekers or receiving disproportionate access to welfare programs. Though these claims are often anecdotal, they are fueling populist rhetoric that appeals to voters feeling left behind in an evolving economy.
A senior citizen in Tokyo, who chose to remain unnamed, shared doubts regarding the cultural harmony between local inhabitants and overseas employees, suggesting that dissimilar customs pose challenges to living harmoniously. At the same time, younger individuals, such as a 23-year-old office employee, shared the sentiment that governmental aid ought to focus more on residents than on foreigners.
These sentiments, while not necessarily supported by data, are being amplified by emerging political actors. The Sanseito party, a right-leaning nationalist group, has gained attention with its platform centered on prioritizing Japanese interests. Although unlikely to win a majority, Sanseito could still influence the balance of power by attracting disaffected voters from larger parties, including the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP).
Separating perception from reality
Amid the mounting debate, experts caution that much of the current rhetoric is based more on perception than on factual trends. According to data from the Ministry of Justice, foreign nationals accounted for just over 5% of total arrests in 2023—a figure that includes both visitors and residents. Furthermore, Japan’s overall crime rate has been steadily declining over the past two decades, a trend that contradicts widespread concerns about deteriorating public safety.
Sociologists like Shunsuke Tanabe from Waseda University argue that increased visibility of foreigners has led to cognitive bias, causing some to mistakenly link demographic change with rising insecurity. He warns that such assumptions are easily exploited during election campaigns, especially in the digital age where misinformation spreads rapidly.
Tanabe also notes that social media has amplified divisive narratives, making it easier for parties with anti-immigration platforms to gain traction. The result is a political environment where symbolic gestures—like establishing a new office—may carry more weight than substantive policy solutions.
Political maneuvering with long-term consequences
The stakes for Prime Minister Ishiba and the LDP are high. After losing their majority in the lower house last year, another poor showing in the upper house vote could intensify internal pressure on Ishiba to resign. With Sanseito projected to secure several seats, every measure to retain public confidence becomes crucial.
Some political analysts believe the creation of the new task force is a strategic effort to seem attentive to voter issues while avoiding significant changes to the country’s immigration system. Jeffrey Hall, a lecturer specializing in Japanese studies at Kanda University, characterized the initiative as a strategic method to “express authority” on a delicate subject. Nevertheless, he cautioned that excessively strict monitoring or limitations on foreign nationals might have adverse economic repercussions.
“If Japan fosters a setting where overseas employees sense they are not welcome or are being treated unjustly, it may jeopardize its efforts to achieve its workforce objectives,” Hall stated. “In a nation experiencing a decline in its working-age demographic, acquiring global skills is not a choice—it is crucial.”
An undeniable demographic reality
Japan continues to grapple with a major challenge: its demographic decline. In 2024, the birth rate in the nation fell to an unprecedented low of 1.15, significantly below the 2.1 level required to sustain a stable population without relying on immigration. With one of the world’s longest life expectancies, the country faces an aging population that increasingly depends on the younger workforce, a substantial portion of which must be sourced from overseas.
To address labor shortages, Japan has been expanding its visa programs, particularly those aimed at «specific skilled workers» in industries ranging from healthcare and construction to hospitality and aviation. As of October 2024, the number of foreign employees reached a new peak of 2.3 million, reflecting ongoing efforts to fill essential roles that Japanese workers alone can no longer meet.
Ishiba recognized this reality during the introduction of the new team, emphasizing that Japan needs to stay accessible to international talent and tourism to ensure sustained growth over time. “To address the issues brought on by a decreasing birthrate and an aging population, we must incorporate the vitality of the world community,” he stated.
Moving forward
As the election draws closer, the balance between public sentiment and economic necessity will continue to shape Japan’s policies toward foreign nationals. While concerns about cultural integration and resource sharing deserve thoughtful attention, experts emphasize the need for data-driven policy, not reactionary measures driven by populist fear.
Japan stands at a crossroads—caught between its traditions of cultural homogeneity and the imperatives of an interconnected world. Whether the new task force will evolve into a constructive force for integration or simply serve as an election-season symbol remains to be seen. Either way, the decisions made now will have profound implications for Japan’s future as both a global economic power and a multicultural society.
